Where’s the stock market going?


In this 45-minute keynote speech, Patrick Schwerdtfeger offers listeners a glimpse of a sophisticated economic forecasting model designed to predict future stock valuations, driven by consumer spending, corporate earnings and stock valuations.


The analysis draws from the MEICAP Model and its conclusions.


The MEICAP model uses a dynamic population platform combined with income and spending data to model P/E ratios (stock market) and interest rates (bond market) and predict them into the future, yielding valuable insights for future stock valuations and housing prices.  The historical results are amazingly accurate to actual results and the predictions are fascinating for investors and business owners alike.


Patrick developed the MEICAP model over a three-year period.  Although the model is built on a fairly basic conceptual framework, his detailed knowledge of its foundation and methodology allow him to guide the audience to the model’s results in a smooth and logical way.  But more importantly, the model’s results always spur questions and discussion from the group.


This speech is great for a forum-style venue where participants can get involved in the material and contribute their own insights.  People love to predict and this speech gives listeners a vehicle to do so.